AI Energy Demand/
Compute Scarcity/
Data Centers as Infrastructure/
Capital Rotation/
Grid Buildout/
Chip Export Controls/
AI Energy Demand/
Compute Scarcity/
Data Centers as Infrastructure/
Capital Rotation/
Grid Buildout/
Chip Export Controls/
Research · Issue 014

Signals that shape the next decade.

AI, capital, energy and geopolitics — explained through the lens of long-term change.

Featured Analysis

The decisive constraints of the AI economy

All Analysis
InfrastructureLead Story

The AI Energy Bottleneck

The next constraint on artificial intelligence may not be models or chips, but power. As frontier labs race to scale, the grid is emerging as the decisive variable of the decade.

Jun 18, 2026·12 min read
Geopolitics

The Coming War for Compute

The struggle for chips, energy and data centers is becoming a new layer of global power.

Jun 14, 2026·11 min read
Research

Frameworks for the long view

Research Index
Research

The Long Signal Thesis

A framework for understanding the economic consequences of artificial intelligence — across capital allocation, energy systems, and the balance of geopolitical power.

Read the thesis24 min read
01

Capital

Where the trillions of AI-era capital are flowing — and who absorbs the returns.

02

Energy

Power generation, grids and the physics that increasingly govern compute.

03

Geopolitics

Chips, sovereignty and the contest to control the infrastructure of intelligence.

The Weekly Signal

Intelligence for the AI economy, every week.

One sober briefing on the signals shaping AI, capital, energy and geopolitics. No noise. Read by operators, investors and policymakers.

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